It seems unlikely Beijing has such a capability, but it cannot be fully ruled out — can China track the F-22 Raptor stealth fighter, America’s airborne tip of the spear?

According to the Global Times, China’s “meter wave radar can be deployed on vehicles, on land and warships, creating a dense web that gives hostile stealth aircraft nowhere to hide.”

In addition, it also functions as a fire control radar that can guide missiles toward stealthy jets like the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter.

In a report by Michael Peck of The National Interest, Chinese scientists say they have solved a fundamental dilemma inherent to radar. High-frequency radars, such as microwave radars, emit a lot of short pulses that are good for guiding weapons to a target.

Low-frequency radars, that emit waves that are meters long, are better for searching an area but aren’t precise enough for fire control (here’s a quick primer). That means high- and low-frequency radars tend to be paired for search and fire control, the report said.

Stealth aircraft are shaped to avoid detection by high-frequency beams. “Meter wave radars can detect stealth aircraft because modern stealth aircraft are mainly designed to avoid detection by microwave radar, and are less stealthy to meter wave radar,” said Global Times.

“However, analysts previously said that because of their low resolution and accuracy, meter wave radars can only send warnings about incoming threats. And even if microwave radars compensate for the shortcomings of the meter wave radars, they are unable to entirely overcome these shortcomings.”

Wu Jianqi, a senior scientist at the state-owned China Electronics Technology Group Corporation, told Chinese media that his team has solved this dilemma.

“Wu solved the issue by designing the world’s first practical meter wave sparse array synthetic impulse and aperture radar,” according to Global Times. “Wu said that his radar has multiple transmitting and receiving antennas tens of meters high, scattered in a range of tens to hundreds of meters. They can continuously cover the sky as the radar receives echoes from all directions.”

Wei Dongxu, a Chinese military analyst, told Global Times that “this significantly enhances the radar’s ability to track an aerial target, pinpointing the stealth aircraft’s exact coordinates by synthesizing parameters and data gathered by the radar under the support of advanced algorithms. Since the radar can now see stealth aircraft clearly and track them continuously and accurately, it could become capable of guiding long-range anti-aircraft missiles and landing precision strikes on them.”

Wu also said that this development puts China ahead of other nations in developing anti-stealth radar. “As for now, I do not see a meter wave air defense radar from abroad that can match the criteria of the advanced meter wave radar.”

China’s JY-27A 3-D long range surveillance and guidance VHF radar is the Chinese military’s first active phased array radar. Credit: defence-point.gr.

But is this true?

The Pentagon has spent hundreds of billions on stealth technology, on everything from the F-117A Nighthawk stealth fighter to the B-2 bomber and the F-22 Raptor and the DGD-1000 Zumwalt destroyer. The F-35 project alone is estimated to have cost at least US$65 billion, and that’s a conservative estimate.

The vulnerability of stealth aircraft to low-frequency beams has not escaped the notice of military researchers around the world.  Russia has also claimed — more than once — to have developed stealth-detecting radar, The National Interest reported.

While the physics of the Chinese claims seem plausible, it is important to remember that the effectiveness of a military sensor depends on a variety of factors. How easily can the Chinese meter-wave radar be spoofed or jammed? How vulnerable are these radar complexes — comprising multiple antennae — to being destroyed by missiles?

The reality is that US fifth-generation fighters are large pieces of metal. They are not invisible, and they can be seen at certain points on the electromagnetic spectrum.

China is also extending its air defense capabilities out to sea with its newer, more advanced warships, as well as working to improve the Active Electronically Scanned Array (AESA) radars on Chinese aircraft, Business Insider reported.

The country is also pushing for breakthroughs in infrared in addition to more theoretical research, such as exotic quantum radars and entangled photons.

It also displayed two state-of-the-art radars at recent airshows, the JY-27A 3-D long range surveillance and guidance radar, a Very High Frequency (VHF) radar that is the Chinese military’s first active phased array radar, and the JY-26 Skywatcher-U, 311institute online reported.

This radar works in a broader bandwidth, in VHF and Ultra-High Frequency (UHF) bands. It also has a range of 500km and can track up to 500 targets at once. Intriguingly, the Chinese government claimed that while under development in Shandong it was able to track American F-22 Raptors flying over South Korea.

China displays some of its early warning radar equipment at Airshow China 2018. Credit: Defenseworld.net.

However, it is quite likely the Raptors were fitted with large drop tanks, making them much more visible to radar.

“I see China working hard to erode some of the advantages by improving their own capabilities and the way they operate, but fifth-gen still presents a very tough challenge for China to counter,” Rebecca Grant, a national security analyst and the author of “The Radar Game: Understanding Stealth and Aircraft Survivability,” told Business Insider.

“Even if China improves in one area, there are still advantages that go with the whole fifth-gen package. Countries buying [the F-35] know it’s going to be the winner for decades,” she added.

“It’s pretty much exactly the same for the Russians,” she said. “There’s not a magic breakthrough technology that’s going to make stealth obsolete overnight.”

In the end, the problem with evaluating anti-stealth is the same as evaluating stealth: we really won’t know how well any of this work until it is used in combat, The National Interest reported.

The F-35 has been used in minor conflicts like Syria, operating against second-string or non-existent air defenses. But stealth — or anti-stealth — will only be proven in a conflict between powers that possess advanced aircraft, radars and anti-aircraft missiles.

That means America, Russia and China.